Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 20.284465 22.221742 24.195967 26.354624 28.644755 30.998239 33.595904
2024-12-15 17.796766 20.723612 23.829221 27.354656 31.230307 35.346321 40.033076
2024-12-22 15.706806 19.165441 22.948770 27.363089 32.340628 37.749143 44.039350
2024-12-29 14.721516 18.655558 23.064855 28.321100 34.364284 41.044620 48.936611
2025-01-05 13.753971 18.042789 22.956634 28.927023 35.908802 43.741828 53.119583
2025-01-12 12.379762 16.830255 22.045196 28.503761 36.184218 44.926442 55.527840
2025-01-19 10.935737 15.423842 20.804612 27.597344 35.809918 45.290066 56.929072
2025-01-26 10.297929 14.965858 20.666488 27.973202 36.922360 47.365724 60.309138
2025-02-02 9.736814 14.561739 20.558162 28.354029 38.017335 49.406923 63.644854
2025-02-09 8.990041 13.866380 20.041029 28.189654 38.416939 50.595653 65.954429
2025-02-16 8.456188 13.417649 19.807777 28.354781 39.201415 52.234794 68.797943
2025-02-23 7.972956 13.006157 19.596399 28.525143 39.975681 53.851975 71.613040
2025-03-02 7.452035 12.522720 19.279350 28.557893 40.587364 55.293260 74.254625
2025-03-09 7.382943 12.671290 19.805566 29.695401 42.614382 58.502826 79.091716
2025-03-16 6.911956 12.213554 19.487761 29.701033 43.178250 59.886596 81.682227
2025-03-23 6.828471 12.313981 19.929326 30.715537 45.047145 62.911221 86.318785
2025-03-30 6.626072 12.223958 20.097255 31.356799 46.430417 65.330414 90.215434
2025-04-06 6.086059 11.592562 19.479306 30.908872 46.368376 65.907830 91.803350
2025-04-13 5.431436 10.743259 18.514163 29.949254 45.598472 65.557059 92.202496
2025-04-20 5.221641 10.583139 18.533892 30.347235 46.633183 67.520800 95.533156
2025-04-27 5.026204 10.434425 18.561537 30.750387 47.672952 69.493887 98.884412
2025-05-04 4.686497 10.028794 18.191420 30.576388 47.921167 70.433925 100.916003
2025-05-11 4.459290 9.797622 18.071930 30.751183 48.639012 71.985251 103.735218